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Eric Moody
The 2025 NBA play-in tournament tips off Tuesday as the Orlando Magic host the Atlanta Hawks, followed by the Golden State Warriors taking on the Memphis Grizzlies.
Orlando (-5.5, 219.5) finished the regular season with a 41-41 record, while the Hawks were right behind them at 40-42. They split the four-game season series.
Meanwhile, the Warriors (-7.5, 227.5) and Grizzlies both finished the season with an identical 48-34 record, and while Golden State took the season series 3-1, Memphis did beat them by 51 points in December.
Here are some of the bets that stand out for Tuesday.
Odds are as of publication time. For the most up-to-date odds, visit ESPN BET
Bets for Tuesday
Paolo Banchero over 30.5 points (-110)
Banchero has surpassed this line in all three games he played against the Hawks in the regular season. Atlanta allowed the seventh-most points per game to power forwards and they don’t have anyone defensively who can slow Banchero down. Banchero has cleared this line in 11 of his past 20 games he’s played at least 34 minutes.
Onyeka Okongwu under 25.5 points and rebounds (-105)
The Magic rank first in defensive rating over the past 10 games. While Okongwu had a big performance against Orlando on April 8, he’s gone under this line in 10 of his past 20 games — and in both of his previous matchups against them this season. The Magic have held opposing centers under their points and rebounds line in six of their last 10 games. With Orlando’s slow pace and elite defense, this isn’t an ideal spot for Okongwu to shine on Tuesday night.
Vince Williams Jr. under 12.5 points, rebounds and assists (-125)
Williams has stayed under this line in seven of his past 10 games and averaged just 18 minutes per game over that span. He cleared it in the regular-season finale against Dallas, but most of the key Grizzlies played limited minutes in that one. More telling, Williams has gone under this number in nine of the 12 games he’s shared the floor with Ja Morant, Desmond Bane, and Jaren Jackson Jr. in the lineup and he faces a Warriors team that ranks fourth in defensive rating over the past 10 games.
Zach Edey over 11.5 rebounds (-130)
Edey has picked the right time to heat up for the Grizzlies. He’s gone over this line in four of his past five games and averaged 25.6 rebound chances in just over 30 minutes per game. The Warriors have struggled against centers all season, allowing the sixth-most rebounds per game to the position. They’ve also let six of the past eight centers they’ve faced surpass their rebound props.
Projections and Injury Reports
Basketball Power Index by ESPN Analytics. Injury aggregation by Rotowire.com. Odds by ESPN BET
Atlanta Hawks at Orlando Magic
7:30 p.m. ET
Line: Hawks +5.5 (-115) | Magic -5.5 (-105)
Money line: Hawks +170 | Magic -200
Total: 219.5 (-105 O, -115 U)
BPI Projection: Magic by 4.9, straight up 66%, 213.3 total points.
Injury Report:
Hawks: Trae Young, (GTD – Achilles); Clint Capela, (OUT – Hand); Larry Nance Jr., (OUT – Knee); Jalen Johnson, (OFS – Shoulder); Kobe Bufkin, (OFS – Shoulder)
Magic: Jalen Suggs, (OFS – Knee); Moritz Wagner, (OFS – Knee)
Memphis Grizzlies at Golden State Warriors
10 p.m. ET
Line: Grizzlies +7.5 (-115) | Warriors -7.5 (-105)
Money line: Grizzlies +250 | Warriors -315
Total: 227.5 (-115 O, -105 U)
BPI Projection: Warriors by 3.5, straight up 62%, 230.1 total points.
Injury Report:
Grizzlies: Brandon Clarke, (OFS – Knee); Jaylen Wells, (OFS – Wrist)
Warriors: None reported
