The Golden State Warriors host the Houston Rockets in a pivotal Game 3 as the series is all tied up at 1-1. The Warriors took Game 1 95-85, and the Rockets bounced back with a 109-94 victory in Game 2. Golden State was 24-17 on its home court in the regular season, while Houston went 23-17 on the road. These two teams met twice in Golden State this year, with each team winning once.
The Warriors are 2.5-point favorites, according to SportsLine consensus odds, and are -139 on the money line (bet $139 to win $100). The Rockets are +117 money-line underdogs (bet $100 to win $117), and the over/under for this matchup is 203.
The Warriors may be without star forward Jimmy Butler as he suffered a pelvic injury in Game 2. Draymond Green was already going to be a key player for Steve Kerr’s team, but that’s especially the case if Butler misses Game 3. Green is more known for his defense and rebounding than he is for his passing, but the SportsLine Projection Model is targeting his assists prop as part of the top-rated same-game parlay for Saturday’s four-game NBA slate.
Before you make any prop bets on Rockets-Warriors Game 3, you need to be following what the SportsLine Projection Model says. It refreshes the most recent data and can help you spot discrepancies in the lines. The SportsLine model, which can be found on every game forecast page on SportsLine under the “Prop Picks” tab, assigns ratings of up to five stars for each projected value play on every NBA slate. Those picks can help build winning parlays on DraftKings, FanDuel, PrizePicks, Underdog Fantasy or Sleeper Fantasy and in same-game parlays on any betting site.
Here are the SportsLine model’s three highest-rated player prop recommendations for Rockets-Warriors as well as what the payout would be if they were put into a same-game parlay. To see the latest projections for Rockets-Warriors as well as expert picks for the NBA Playoffs, make sure to visit SportsLine.
Rockets-Warriors Same-Game Parlay (+757)
Draymond Green Over 5.5 total assists (+110): 3.5 stars
Alperen Sengun Over 4.5 total assists (+112): 3.5 stars
Jalen Green Under 28.5 total points + rebounds + assists (-108): 3.5 stars
Draymond Green has just four total assists this series against Houston, but the model likes the Over on his 5.5 assists line for Saturday’s contest. The veteran big man has finished Over his total assists prop in seven of his last 10 home games against top-10 defenses while averaging 6.0 assists per game, and he’s projected to dish out 5.6 on Saturday.
The model also likes the Over on Sengun’s assists prop for Saturday’s contest. He’s finished Over his total assists prop in six of his last eight games as a road underdog against top-10 defenses while averaging 6.1 assists per game over that span. The model projects him to have 4.5 assists against the Warriors.
The other Green in this parlay, Houston’s Jalen Green, has come up short of his PRA prop in four of his last five road games when the Rockets were underdogs, averaging 21.2 PRA per game. The model projects him to have 26.1 PRA on Saturday.
