Thunder vs. Pacers NBA Finals Game 4 betting odds and our prediction

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With the NBA Finals headed to Indiana, the Pacers needed to rebound following a 16-point loss in Game 2 where the scoreboard isn’t indicative of how in control the Thunder were to even the series up.

In their first NBA Finals home game in a quarter century, the Pacers battled back and earned a 116-107 victory over the Thunder in Game 3.

The Pacers have now won each of their last 10 games following a loss with the Game 3 win in front of 17,000+ fans at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Wednesday.

Indiana now owns a 2-1 series lead and are two wins shy of the organization’s first NBA title.

While the Pacers are now halfway to the Larry O’Brien trophy, they can’t settle yet as they know the Thunder will bring their A game on Friday night.

So what happens next? Can the Pacers shock the world again and come out on top to take a commanding 3-1 series lead? Or will the Thunder avoid a second consecutive postseason loss and tie the series heading back to Oklahoma City?

Here are the betting odds, and our breakdown on the spread, total and moneyline prediction for Game 4 between Thunder and Pacers in the NBA Finals:

Odds courtesy of BetMGM as of Friday, June 13:

Thunder vs. Pacers spread: Thunder -6.5 (-102), Pacers +6.5 (-118)

Even with the Game 3 win, the Pacers find themselves as even bigger home underdogs in Game 4, currently sitting at 6.5-point underdogs on Friday.

It’s also still surprising that the bookmakers have the Thunder as such big favorites considering they’re now 0-8 against the spread (ATS) on the road in the playoffs, which is the worst stretch for any team over the last 40 years.

Being a 5.5-point road favorite in Game 3 marked the biggest road favorite in the NBA Finals in 24 years, dating back to the Los Angeles Lakers in the 2001 NBA Finals.

At what point will the NBA’s best team this season bounce back?

With their backs against the wall and knowing they can’t go down 3-1, I’m betting that for the first time this postseason the Thunder cover the spread, winning by at least seven points.

They won’t cover by much, but it’ll still be enough to get the job done and end this brutal streak of failing to cover.

Prediction: Thunder -6.5 (-102)

Thunder vs. Pacers total: Over 225.5 points (-115), Under 225.5 points (-105)

After the Thunder and Pacers combined to make 28 three-pointers in Game 2, that number regressed to the mean in Game 3, with only 19 total shots being made from beyond the arc, resulting in the total staying under 228.5 points.

Outside of Tyrese Haliburton (4-of-8 from three-point range) and Luguentz Dort (4-of-5 from distance), only three other players made multiple three pointers (Alex Caruso, Isaiah Joe and Bennedict Mathurin) despite there being 49 total attempts.

The total has now shifted down three-points and I wouldn’t be completely surprised if that line continued to move that way towards tip-off on Friday.

Given the down performance from recently named league MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander — who had his first sub 30-point game since Game 3 of the Western Conference Finals — I anticipate the bounce back from SGA to be one of the main reasons this total goes over this line of 225.5 points for Game 4 of the NBA Finals.

Prediction: Over 225.5 points (-115)

Thunder vs. Pacers moneyline: Thunder -235 (Bet $235 to win $100), Pacers +190 (Bet $100 to win $190)

Two of the main reasons the Pacers were able to come out on top on their home court in Game 3 was the play of Tyrese Haliburton and Bennedict Mathurin.

Perhaps the tell all stat is the Pacers were 19-1 coming into Game 3 when Haliburton scored 20+ points and had 10+ assists. That record is now at 20-1 following his 22 points and 11 assists on Wednesday.

Then there’s Mathurin, who had a game-high 27 points and was 140/1 (+14000) to be the leading scorer. He went 9-of-12 from the field in only 22 minutes of being on the floor.

There’s a real good chance this is the momentum swing that could guide the Pacers to take a commanding 3-1 series lead and push Oklahoma City to the brink.

But will they?

I’m not giving up on the MVP and the league’s best team just yet, as SGA will take over in Game 4 and lead the Thunder to victory, ultimately tying this series heading back to OKC for Game 5 on Monday night.

Bet the Thunder to earn a hard-fought, near double-digit point victory in Game 4 of the NBA Finals.

Prediction: Thunder 120, Pacers 111

What time is Thunder vs Pacers Game 4 today?

• Date: Friday, June 13
• Time: 8 p.m.

The best-of-seven NBA Finals continues in the Hoosier state with Game 4 in Indiana, with tip-off coming shortly after 8 p.m. on Friday night.

What channel is Thunder vs Pacers Game 4 today?

• TV: ABC
• Stream: Fubo

Watch Thunder vs Pacers NBA Finals Game 3 live on Fubo

Thunder, Pacers odds to win NBA Finals going into Game 4

Odds courtesy of BetMGM as of Friday, June 13:

Thunder: -250 (Bet $250 to win $100)

Pacers: 2/1 or +200 (Bet $100 to win $200)

Who are the betting favorites to win Finals MVP ahead of Game 4?

Odds courtesy of BetMGM as of Friday, June 13:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder): -235

Tyrese Haliburton (Pacers): +275

Pascal Siakam (Pacers): 9/1 (+900)

Jalen Williams (Thunder): 80/1 (+8000)

Chet Holmgren (Thunder) and Bennedict Mathurin (Pacers): 100/1 (+10000)

Myles Turner (Pacers): 125/1 (+12500)

Andrew Nembhard (Pacers) and TJ McConnell (Pacers): 200/1 (+20000)

Luguentz Dort (Thunder), Obi Toppin (Pacers) and Aaron Nesmith (Pacers): 500/1 (+50000)

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