The Indiana Pacers host the Oklahoma City Thunder in Game 4 of the 2025 NBA Finals on Friday evening. The Pacers defended home court and beat the Thunder 116-107 in their first NBA Finals home game in 25 years on Wednesday. Indiana has improved to 7-2 at home during the 2025 NBA playoffs. Meanwhile, the Thunder are 4-4 on the road this postseason.
Tipoff is at 8:30 p.m. ET from Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis. The Thunder are 6-point favorites in the latest Pacers vs. Thunder odds from DraftKings Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 226.5. Before locking in any Thunder vs. Pacers picks, make sure to check out the NBA predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters the 2025 NBA Finals on a sizzling 160-118 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning nearly $4,000. It is also 24-11 (69%) on top-rated NBA against-the-spread picks this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.
Now, the model has simulated Thunder vs. Pacers 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NBA picks and betting predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and NBA betting lines for Thunder vs. Pacers:
Why the Thunder can cover
OKC has its back against the wall and will need to come out aggressive to even this series up. The Thunder are 11-8-1 against the spread after a loss and 23-20-2 ATS as the away favorite. Forward Jalen Williams is a two-way threat in the frontcourt for this team. In the 2025 NBA Finals, he’s averaging 20.7 points, 5.0 rebounds and 4.7 assists per game. In Game 3, he had a team-high 26 points, six boards and three assists.
Guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander dropped his NBA Finals low of 24 points in his last outing, but still has the ability to dominate. In the 2025 NBA playoffs, he’s gone over 30 points in 13 different games, including Games 1 and 2 against Indiana. He’s pouring in 32 points, six rebounds and five assists in the 2025 NBA Finals. See which team to back at SportsLine.
Why the Pacers can cover
Guard Tyrese Haliburton consistently sets up his teammates and will space the floor due to his effective jumper. Haliburton leads the team in assists (9.4) to go along with 18.6 points per game in the postseason. In his last outing, he had 22 points, nine rebounds and 11 assists. This was his second double-double this postseason.
Guard Bennedict Mathurin has been a massive boost off the bench for Indiana. The 22-year-old has scored in double figures in four of his last six games, including three games with more than 20 points. In Wednesday’s victory, he dropped a team-best 27 points, four rebounds, and shot 9-of-12 from the floor. Indiana is also 25-18-1 against the spread as the underdog. See which team to back at SportsLine.
How to make Thunder vs. Pacers picks
SportsLine’s model has simulated Thunder vs. Pacers and is leaning Under the total, projecting 222 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in nearly 60% of simulations. You can head to SportsLine to see the model’s NBA picks.
So who wins Thunder vs. Pacers Game 4, and which side of the spread hits in nearly 60% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Thunder vs. Pacers spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $10,000 on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.
