The 1-seed Oklahoma City Thunder head on the road to play the 6-seed Minnesota Timberwolves in Game 3 of the 2025 NBA Western Conference finals on Saturday. The Thunder defended their home court and jumped out to a 2-0 series lead. OKC defeated Minnesota 118-103 in Game 2. The Thunder are 62-34 against the spread this season, while the Timberwolves are 46-47-1 ATS.
Tipoff is 8:30 p.m. ET from Target Center in Minneapolis. After opening at -2.5, OKC is now a 3-point road favorite in the latest Timberwolves vs. Thunder odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 218.5. OKC is priced at -154 on the money line (risk $154 to win $100), with Minnesota listed at +130 (risk $100 to win $130). Before locking in any Thunder vs. Timberwolves picks, make sure to check out the NBA predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters the conference finals of the 2025 NBA playoffs on a sizzling 159-117 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning nearly $4,000. It is also 23-11 (68%) on top-rated NBA against-the-spread picks this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.
Now, the model has simulated Timberwolves vs. Thunder 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NBA picks and betting predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and NBA betting lines for Thunder vs.Timberwolves:
Why the Thunder can cover
OKC has won both games in this series by at least 15 points. The Thunder are 57-32-4 against the spread as the favorites and 25-18-2 against the spread as the away team. This group had Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, and Jalen Williams log more than 20 points in their Game 2 win.
Alexander was the driving force, dropping 38 points, eight assists and three steals. This is right on par for him, as he leads the team in points (29.8) and assists (6.7) this postseason. Meanwhile, Williams has poured in 20-plus points in two of his last three games. On Thursday, the 24-year-old finished with 26 points, 10 rebounds and five dimes. See which team to back at SportsLine.
Why the Timberwolves can cover
Guard Anthony Edwards can score from all three levels on the court due to his athleticism and shooting touch. During the 2025 NBA playoffs, he leads the team in points (26.2) and assists (5.7). In Game 2, Edwards finished with 32 points, nine boards and six assists.
Forward Jaden McDaniels plays fierce defense and excels as a downhill scorer. This postseason, McDaniels averages 15.3 points, 5.8 rebounds, and 1.3 steals per game. On Thursday, he finished with 22 points and three blocks. Minnesota is 3-1-1 against the spread as the home underdog, while being 18-17-1 against the spread after a loss. See which team to back at SportsLine.
How to make Thunder vs. Timberwolves picks
SportsLine’s model has simulated Thunder vs.Timberwolves and is leaning Under the total, projecting 214 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations. You can head to SportsLine to see the model’s NBA picks.
So who wins Thunder vs. Timberwolves, and which side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Thunder vs.Timberwolves spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $10,000 on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.
